Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.3%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleDec 8, 25, 10:49 AM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Polyoptions volume hit $100 million in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing ever happens 2026: Polymarket Edition
Manifold MarketsWhat will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?
KalshiOKX IPO in 2026?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by which date?
PolymarketRules
This is a market on whether Polyoptions' total trading volume in 2026 is greater than or equal to $1,000,000,000.00 (as rounded to the nearest penny), according to official trading volume as first reported for that period, or portion thereof, at https://polyoptions.com/.
- Trading volume will be measured in notional value, which equals the USD payout value of the underlying Polymarket positions.
- If total trading volume in 2026 is less than $1,000,000,000.00 or if no such official data is published at that site on or before January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Should Polyoptions change its name or URL, the relevant successor site will be used as the resolutions source.
- Should Polyoptions merge with or be acquired by another platform prior to year-end and prior to trigerring a "Yes" resolution, such that Polyoptions' volume can not be disaggregated from that of its acquirer or merger partner, this market will resolve to “No”.
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 21?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000+0.1pt100%
- 72,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $80,000 or above99%
- $80,250 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $85,200 or above99%
- $85,100 or above99%
- $85,000 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 85,000+66.5pt100%
- ↑ 82,500+37.5pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
+30 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 85,000+20.9pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
+43 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $85,189.42 target
- Yes100%
- No0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $584.5K
- BTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 22?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- ETH price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 21?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026? resolve?
- Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.
- How is Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a market on whether Polyoptions' total trading volume in 2026 is greater than or equal to $1,000,000,000.00 (as rounded to the nearest penny), according to official trading volume as first reported for that period, or portion thereof, at https://polyoptions.com/.