Manifold Markets
Plataforma de predicción con dinero virtual donde cualquiera puede crear mercados sobre cualquier tema. Usa Mana (M$), una moneda virtual gratuita.
Visitar Manifold MarketsDisponibilidad
Fuente de pronóstico o dinero ficticio; la elegibilidad de trading no aplica.
KYC / Identidad
No se requiere verificación de identidad
Metodología y acceso
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Liquida en
Mana (M$)
Estadísticas en vivo
Mercados abiertos9078
Mercados totales27.170
Participantes680.805
Prom. pronosticadores/pregunta25.6
Prom. resultados/mercado4.7
Tasa de resolución67%
Última actualización21 ago 2026, 19:20
Categorías Principales
1. One-Off7606 Mercados abiertos
2. Política1970 Mercados abiertos
3. IA1642 Mercados abiertos
4. Tecnología1488 Mercados abiertos
5. US Politics1444 Mercados abiertos
Resolution history
9,678 resolved markets · since 2022 · 99% provider-timestamped
Explorar en CoinRithm
Lecturas relacionadas
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Mercados abiertos
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of October 2026?
- NVIDIA+70.0pt80%
- Apple+0.1pt10.1%
- Alphabet (Google)-7.4pt2.6%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,5 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of November 2026?
- NVIDIA+69.5pt79.5%
- Apple-2.0pt8%
- Alphabet (Google)-5.6pt4.4%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,6 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?
- Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)+68.9pt83.6%
- xAI / Cursor-26.0pt3.6%
- Other-5.9pt8.3%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 17,2 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will a company claim credit for Ox Alpha?
- Before 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before Sept 20, 2026+48.0pt98%
- Before Sep 7, 2026+40.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 473,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- 473,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat colors will I eat today?
- Green+44.0pt94%
- Brown+44.0pt94%
- White+38.7pt88.7%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many people will attend our 20th monthly NYC dinner?
- >=4+44.0pt94%
- >=5+41.3pt91.3%
- >=6+21.9pt71.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 175,8 €
- Volumen 24h
- 175,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS3rd largest company end of October 2026?
- Alphabet (Google)+43.5pt53.5%
- Apple+13.8pt23.8%
- Microsoft+0.6pt10.6%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the release name of Ox Alpha be?
- GLM 5.3V+36.1pt62.1%
- GLM 5.3 Flash-11.2pt8.8%
- Other+2.3pt22.3%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,4 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSPremier League Weekend Prop Bets, Aug 21-24 (Matchweek 1)
- Goal scored on penalty+36.1pt86.1%
- Player gets a red card (in any fashion)+24.0pt74%
- Goal in first 5 minutes of any game+21.3pt71.3%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 215,9 €
- Volumen 24h
- 215,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS2nd largest company end of October 2026?
- Apple+35.2pt45.2%
- Alphabet (Google)+34.9pt44.9%
- NVIDIA-8.3pt1.7%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
- 8-9+35.0pt57.8%
- 6-7-32.1pt25%
- 10-11-2.2pt10.5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 378,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSF1 Dutch GP: Who will win the Sprint?
- George Russell+34.8pt49.8%
- Lando Norris+14.0pt26.1%
- Charles Leclerc-3.0pt7.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,4 mil €
- Will I contact my ex, and how will it go?
- Who will win Masters Season 40?
- English Premier League — Matchweek 1 (All fixtures)
- 2nd largest company end of November 2026?
- Who will win arsenal vs Coventry today
- What will be the trial-level outcome of the 2026 federal Meta youth-harms trial?
- 3rd largest company end of November 2026?
- Will BTC hit (low) till 2026
- What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?
- Where will the 2028 DNC be located?
- Gold futures price August 2026 - beat the statistics
- Size of largest company to fail due to cyber attacks by EoY 2027?
- Bundesliga — 2026-27 Matchday 1 Fixtures
- 2026 Death Pool
- What will be Max Verstappen's next team after Red Bull Racing?
- Will the Democrat on the ballot for Senate in ME and Republican on the ballot for Senate in SC be 2026 Gov candidates?
- Who will win the 2026 Cincinnati Open (Cincinnati WTA 1000)?
- In which month will the US–North Korea summit take place?
- Who will win the next Ukrainian presidential elections
- When will Destiny’s lawsuit end
- Which AI lab will participate in the IMO 2026?
- If "silly topic" is a prompt in Bilt Rent Free Sep 1st, 2026, what answers will be on the menu?
- 🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2026 Regular Season Games Live
- Who will win the Republican special primary runoff 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra released between?
- Will the bitcoin reach ... in 2026 (after market creation on the 25th of May 2026) [ADD ANSWERS] [CRYPTO => USDOLLARS]
- Anthropic peak market cap in 2026?
- Who will win the Michigan Senate Race 2026?
- Who will win the 2027 Formula 1 Drivers World Championship?
- When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
- What prompts will be in Bilt Rent Free Sep 1st, 2026?
- Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
- 2026 Swedish general election prop bets (Add Answers)
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
- What will be the margin in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Republican Primary Draft (Mar 2026 version)
- By what date will Nintendo add Nintendo DS games to Nintendo Switch Online?
- Which people will Tyler Cowen invite to his Conversations podcast in 2026?
- When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
- Claude 6 Release Date
- First fully successful Starship v3 flight?
- Which AI lab will get a perfect score on the IMO 2026?
- ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
- [Mega Market] Who will win gold medal at 2026 Indonesia National Math Olympiad?
- Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
- A public 2026 Dutch government cyberbreach will happen in ... ?
- Which Dota 2 team will win The International 2026?
- Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
- Which team will Brock Purdy play for in 2026?
- F1 Dutch GP: Who will take Grand Prix pole?
- 🏀 NBA: Which team will be next to win its first NBA Championship?
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)?
- 2026 Grand Slam Finalists? (men's tennis)
- Will Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
- 2026 US Open - Men’s singles winner?
- F1 2026 Prop Bets Netherlands (Zandvoort) 🇳🇱 Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
- When will GPT-6 be first released?
- Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]
- When will Anthropic IPO?
- [Free Mana] In Which Month Will Another Div.4 Happen In Codeforces
- If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?
- If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
- Who will win the 2027 Formula 1 Constructors World Championship?
- Which price will Apple stock (AAPL) hold above before staying below it, for a full week?
- Who will be the 2026 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?
- 2026/2027 Premier League Total Season Points
- 🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
- 2026 Pittsburgh Steelers Week by week, Will they win?
- Who will be the Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad 2026 absolute winner?
- When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
- How many successful SpaceX launches in August 2026 UTC
- Who will be the 2026 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?
- Who will be the GOP Nominee for Senate in South Carolina (Add Answers)
- 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
- Anthropic Q4 2027 revenue
- 2026 US Open - Women’s singles winner?
- Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?
- Which teams will qualify for VALORANT Champions 2026?
- Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
- Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
- August 2026 AI model releases
- If this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
- Which Party will win the Alaska Governors race in 2026?
- Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
- How many Erdős problems will be marked solved on erdosproblems.com at the end of 2026?
- Best Album at 2027 Grammy Award ceremony?
- How many House Seats will the Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms? [Exact Number]