Manifold Markets
Spielgeld-Prognoseplattform, auf der jeder Märkte zu beliebigen Themen erstellen kann. Verwendet Mana (M$), eine kostenlose virtuelle Währung.
Manifold Markets besuchenVerfügbarkeit
Prognose- oder Spielgeldquelle; eine Handelszulässigkeit ist nicht anwendbar.
KYC / Identität
Keine Identitätsprüfung erforderlich
Methodik und Zugang
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Abwicklung in
Mana (M$)
Live-Statistiken
Offene Märkte9.070
Gesamtmärkte27.159
Teilnehmer680.676
Ø Prognostiker/Frage25.6
Ø Ergebnisse/Markt4.7
Auflösungsquote67%
Zuletzt aktualisiert21. Aug. 2026, 16:54
Top-Kategorien
1. One-Off7595 Offene Märkte
2. Politik1966 Offene Märkte
3. KI1640 Offene Märkte
4. Technik1487 Offene Märkte
5. US Politics1441 Offene Märkte
Resolution history
9,678 resolved markets · since 2022 · 99% provider-timestamped
Auf CoinRithm entdecken
Weiterführende Artikel
Offene Märkte
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of October 2026?
- NVIDIA+70.0pt80%
- Apple+0.1pt10.1%
- Alphabet (Google)-7.4pt2.6%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2501,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2501,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of November 2026?
- NVIDIA+69.5pt79.5%
- Apple-2.0pt8%
- Alphabet (Google)-5.6pt4.4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1570,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1570,3 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho is behind OX Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?
- Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)+59.2pt79.9%
- xAI / Cursor-21.4pt6.3%
- Other-5.9pt6.2%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8172,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6430,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many people will attend our 20th monthly NYC dinner?
- >=4+44.0pt94%
- >=5+41.3pt91.3%
- >=6+21.9pt71.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 175,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 175,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS3rd largest company end of October 2026?
- Alphabet (Google)+43.5pt53.5%
- Apple+13.8pt23.8%
- Microsoft+0.6pt10.6%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1224,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1224,4 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will a company claim credit for Ox Alpha?
- Before Sept 20, 2026+40.0pt90%
- Before 2027+40.0pt90%
- Before Aug 22, 202650%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 99,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 99,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSMajor League Baseball Games ⚾️ (LIVE)
- Wednesday 3/26, 8:05 PM: NYY Yankees WIN at SF Giants100%
- Thursday 3/27, 2:20 PM: WSH Nationals WIN at CHC Cubs100%
- Thursday 3/27, 4:10 PM: BOS Red Sox WIN at CIN Reds100%
+1860 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 804.308,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3609,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSF1 Dutch GP: Who will win the Sprint?
- George Russell+37.5pt47.9%
- Lando Norris+13.0pt28%
- Charles Leclerc-0.6pt10.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3139,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2212,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSPremier League Weekend Prop Bets, Aug 21-24 (Matchweek 1)
- Goal scored on penalty+36.1pt86.1%
- Player gets a red card (in any fashion)+24.0pt74%
- There is an Own Goal scored+15.6pt65.6%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 192,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 192,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS2nd largest company end of October 2026?
- Apple+35.2pt45.2%
- Alphabet (Google)+34.9pt44.9%
- NVIDIA-8.3pt1.7%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1811,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1811,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
- 8-9+35.0pt57.8%
- 6-7-32.1pt25%
- 10-11-2.2pt10.5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2704,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 378,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win Masters Season 40?
- prismatic+34.0pt75.6%
- Jack-25.6pt14%
- Bayesian-0.5pt0.7%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1206 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 226,1 €
- English Premier League — Matchweek 1 (All fixtures)
- 2nd largest company end of November 2026?
- Who will win arsenal vs Coventry today
- What will be the trial-level outcome of the 2026 federal Meta youth-harms trial?
- 3rd largest company end of November 2026?
- Will I contact my ex, and how will it go?
- Will BTC hit (low) till 2026
- Where will the 2028 DNC be located?
- What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?
- Gold futures price August 2026 - beat the statistics
- Size of largest company to fail due to cyber attacks by EoY 2027?
- Bundesliga — 2026-27 Matchday 1 Fixtures
- 2026 Death Pool
- What will be Max Verstappen's next team after Red Bull Racing?
- 2026 US Open - Men’s singles winner?
- Who will win the 2026 Cincinnati Open (Cincinnati WTA 1000)?
- Who will win the next Ukrainian presidential elections
- When will Destiny’s lawsuit end
- F1 Dutch GP: Who will take Grand Prix pole?
- 🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2026 Regular Season Games Live
- Who will win the Republican special primary runoff 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra released between?
- Anthropic peak market cap in 2026?
- Will the bitcoin reach ... in 2026 (after market creation on the 25th of May 2026) [ADD ANSWERS] [CRYPTO => USDOLLARS]
- Which Dota 2 team will win The International 2026?
- When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
- Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
- 2026 Swedish general election prop bets (Add Answers)
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
- What will be the margin in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
- What will the release name of OX Alpha be?
- Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Republican Primary Draft (Mar 2026 version)
- By what date will Nintendo add Nintendo DS games to Nintendo Switch Online?
- Which people will Tyler Cowen invite to his Conversations podcast in 2026?
- When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
- Claude 6 Release Date
- First fully successful Starship v3 flight?
- ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Which regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
- A public 2026 Dutch government cyberbreach will happen in ... ?
- Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
- Which team will Brock Purdy play for in 2026?
- 🏀 NBA: Which team will be next to win its first NBA Championship?
- Who will win the 2027 Formula 1 Constructors World Championship?
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)?
- 2026 Grand Slam Finalists? (men's tennis)
- Will Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
- Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next?
- F1 2026 Prop Bets Netherlands (Zandvoort) 🇳🇱 Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
- When will GPT-6 be first released?
- Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]
- Who will win the 2027 Formula 1 Drivers World Championship?
- [Free Mana] In Which Month Will Another Div.4 Happen In Codeforces
- If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?
- If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
- Global Average Temperature August 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
- Who Will Lead The Senate after 2026 US Elections?
- Which price will Apple stock (AAPL) hold above before staying below it, for a full week?
- Who will be the 2026 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?
- 2026/2027 Premier League Total Season Points
- 🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
- 2026 Pittsburgh Steelers Week by week, Will they win?
- Who will be the Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad 2026 absolute winner?
- When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
- Who will be the 2026 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?
- F1: Who will win the 2026 Heineken Dutch Grand Prix?
- Who will be the GOP Nominee for Senate in South Carolina (Add Answers)
- F1: DUTCH 🇳🇱 GP 2026 WINNER 🏎️
- Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?
- Which teams will qualify for VALORANT Champions 2026?
- Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
- Will the Democrat on the ballot for Senate in ME and Republican on the ballot for Senate in SC be 2026 Gov candidates?
- Anthropic Q4 2027 revenue
- When will I get over 250 chess elo?
- When will Anthropic IPO?
- Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
- August 2026 AI model releases
- If this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
- Which Party will win the Alaska Governors race in 2026?
- Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
- How many Erdős problems will be marked solved on erdosproblems.com at the end of 2026?
- Who will be Prem signing of the season?
- Who will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
- Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]
- 2026 ATP Tour Men's Tennis Matches 🎾