Manifold Markets

Marchés ouverts

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which one of week 2's NFL games will have the rarest score?

• Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills+74.8pt84.4%
• New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams+8.5pt14.5%
• Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots-6.8pt0.1%

+13 résultats de plus

Volume total

6,5 k €

Volume 24h

6,5 k €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?

• Acquired by Paramount+54.6pt90.3%
• Purchase stalled bureaucratically-49.9pt6.6%
• Acquired by Netflix-1.7pt1.1%

+2 résultats de plus

Volume total

6,4 k €

Volume 24h

1,1 k €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

NFL Week 2 - Prop Bets

• Safety Scored100%
• Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes100%
• Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game100%

+45 résultats de plus

Volume total

25,5 k €

Volume 24h

14,4 k €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Best Picture nominees? (2027 Oscars)

• The Odyssey+48.3pt98.3%
• Wild Horse Nine+41.2pt91.2%
• La Bola Negra+35.8pt85.8%

+19 résultats de plus

Volume total

21,2 k €

Volume 24h

21,2 k €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets

• Tristan Buckmaster publishes a follow-up statement by end of Friday100%
• OpenAI makes a statement by Friday100%
• OpenAI claims to have solved Navier-Stokes by the end of September100%

+22 résultats de plus

Volume total

31,1 k €

Volume 24h

1,2 k €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Abdul El Sayed vote percent in Oakland County for 2026 Michigan senate?

• At least 50%+46.0pt96%
• At least 52%+36.0pt86%
• At least 54%+22.5pt72.5%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

246,7 €

Volume 24h

244,1 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

2026 Undefeated NCAA Football Teams

• On Monday, 09/07, will North Carolina be undefeated?100%
• On Monday, 09/07, will Alabama be undefeated?100%
• On Monday, 09/07, will Texas Tech be undefeated?100%

+141 résultats de plus

Volume total

17 k €

Volume 24h

1,3 k €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

The Shame Market: Who will finish last in the Masters League in Season 41?

• @DottedCalculator+35.5pt86.2%
• @bens-7.9pt1.8%
• @travis-5.4pt1.4%

+27 résultats de plus

Volume total

1,8 k €

Volume 24h

505,5 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will the next Swedish government be formed?

• Before Mar 2027+33.4pt83.4%
• Before Feb 2027+19.8pt69.8%
• Before Dec 2026+13.5pt63.5%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total

54,9 €

Volume 24h

54,9 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season?

• vs. New England Patriots100%
• at Arizona Cardinals+30.7pt99%
• at Las Vegas Raiders-7.1pt81.5%

+13 résultats de plus

Volume total

506,7 €

Volume 24h

239,6 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will SSI announce a model?

• Q4 2026+30.4pt37.5%
• Q1 2027+14.6pt21.7%
• Later/Never+3.2pt10.3%

+11 résultats de plus

Volume total

675,5 €

Volume 24h

697,8 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

James Talarico Starr County vote percent?

• At least 50%+29.0pt79%
• At least 52%+19.4pt69.4%
• At least 54%+9.2pt59.2%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

321 €

Volume 24h

321,1 €

• Will the bitcoin reach ... in 2026 (after market creation on the 25th of May 2026) [ADD ANSWERS] [CRYPTO => USDOLLARS]
• What will Bitcoin's price reach by the end of 2026? (Crypto BTC)
• Will either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit?
• Which price will Bitcoin hit in September 2026?
• When will Fable return to the Pro plan?
• Who will win Big Brother 28?
• When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?
• Which company will create AGI first?
• Tech Stock Closing Prices on Friday 25 Sep 2026
• When will my Manifold networth pass 10k?
• Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
• Who will win the SEPTEMBER 2026 grand sumo tournament?
• Where will I live in October 2026?
• What tier will the next Claude release be?
• Who will win the 2026 Brazil Série A Soccer Championship - Campeonato Brasileiro?
• Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures
• Which country will win the 2026 Chess Olympiad (Open event)?
• Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar?
• How will Mewgenics perform at The Game Awards 2026?
• Which three teams are relegated from Finnish Hockey League in 2027?
• How many top 10 Indonesia's IMO 2026 TST will qualify to IMO 2027?
• Which ticket will win the 2026 FIDE presidential election?
• Duskbloods release date?
• Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]
• which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year
• Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
• Which will be the next planetary-mass object to have its first ever spacecraft soft landing?
• How many VRA districts will the GOP flip in 2026?
• If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
• What will the US average gas price hit in September 2026?
• Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?
• Which NFL team will be the last to suffer a loss in the 2026-2027 season? (Last undefeated team)
• Which new managers will survive the 26/27 Premier League season?
• Bitcoin price in 2026?
• What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?
• How many Hurricanes in 2026?
• On what days will I be productive in September?
• Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
• Who will be favourite on election day to win the Texas senate election?
• Which booster will fly 50 times first?
• Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
• When will Aaron Rodgers retire from the NFL?
• How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC
• Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card
• On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
• 🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2026 Regular Season Games Live
• MLB Season Prop Bets
• Who will win the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?
• Who will win more games in the 2026 NFL season?
• Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
• Which charities will be recommended by GiveWell at the end of 2027?
• Who will win the NFCCG
• Which College Football coaches will be fired before the end of the 2026 College Football Season? (Add Answers)
• Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)?
• How quickly will I run a 5km race on October 10?
• Who will win the Masters League in Season 41?
• Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
• Which party will win the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election?
• Am I going to promote, demote, or remain in my league (season 41)
• In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
• How many pitchers will pitch multiple complete games in the 2026 MLB regular season?
• Real Madrid 26-27 Season Prop Bets
• What will be AMD's highest daily closing price in 2026?
• What AI will be the most popular choice for voting advice in 2026?
• When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold?
• Who will be in the TOP 3 of the Manifold Market Masters League Season 41?
• When will SSI release their first model?
• Will Anthropic IPO by….?
• Democratic Leaders in Congress after 2026 elections?
• When will the next UK General Election take place?
• September 2026 AI model releases
• Which of the seven millennium problems will be solved last?
• How many Erdős problems will be marked solved on erdosproblems.com at the end of 2026?
• In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
• Global Average Temperature Sept 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
• How many pitchers will log 200 or more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season?
• (Week 2) NFL 2026 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide 🏈
• At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
• Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
• When will Anthropic IPO?
• Which creature sizing will Magic: the Gathering print first: 3/9 or 5/10?
• Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• On which dates will OpenAI Reset Limits?
• Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
• Who Will Lead The Senate after 2026 US Elections?
• Which country will win the 2026 Chess Olympiad (Women's event)?
• Will I Get an Internship or Job in 2026's Summer?

Marchés recherchés

Pages de cette plateforme ayant gagné en visibilité dans les moteurs de recherche, avec leurs résultats.

• Name a hack people swear by for staying fit long-term. (Bilt Rent Free Sep 1, 2026)1 sept. 2026
• Name a piece of festival etiquette everyone should know. (Bilt Rent Free Sep 1, 2026)1 sept. 2026
• Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
• Quem será o Bola de Ouro da 7ª edição da Copa Gosa?
• Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat?
• What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)
• Name a city with the craziest sports fans. (Bilt Rent Free Aug 1, 2026)1 août 2026
• Alan’s Conservative AGI countdown reaches 100% before August 1 2026
• Name a reality show where romance seems more like a competition. (Bilt Rent Free Aug 1, 2026)1 août 2026
• Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
• Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
• 🇪🇸ESP vs 🇦🇹AUT [World Cup '26]2 juil. 2026
• In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
• who will win IIT (Isobowl Invitational Tournament) HS Division - add your team30 août 2026
• Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?
• 🇨🇴COL vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]24 juin 2026
• 🇫🇷FRA vs 🇮🇶IRQ [World Cup '26]23 juin 2026
• IMO 2026 Bronze Cutoff?19 juil. 2026
• Quem ganhará a Copa Gosa?
• Rogue AIs before 2028?
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]
• Which team will win ARML 2026?30 mai 2026
• Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
• Will we get AGI before 2033?