Manifold Markets
Speelgeld-voorspellingsplatform waar iedereen markten kan aanmaken over elk onderwerp. Gebruikt Mana (M$), een gratis virtuele valuta.
Bezoek Manifold MarketsBeschikbaarheid
Voorspellings- of speelgeldbron; handelsgeschiktheid is niet van toepassing.
KYC / Identiteit
Geen identiteitsverificatie vereist
Methodologie en toegang
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Verrekent in
Mana (M$)
Live statistieken
Open markten9.070
Totale markten27.159
Deelnemers680.676
Gem. voorspellers/vraag25.6
Gem. uitkomsten/markt4.7
Afwikkelingspercentage67%
Laatst bijgewerkt21 aug 2026, 16:54
Topcategorieën
1. One-Off7595 Open markten
2. Politiek1966 Open markten
3. AI1640 Open markten
4. Tech1487 Open markten
5. US Politics1441 Open markten
Resolution history
9,678 resolved markets · since 2022 · 99% provider-timestamped
Verkennen op CoinRithm
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Open markten
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of October 2026?
- NVIDIA+70.0pt80%
- Apple+0.1pt10.1%
- Alphabet (Google)-7.4pt2.6%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,5K
- 24u volume
- € 2,5K
MANIFOLD MARKETSLargest company end of November 2026?
- NVIDIA+69.5pt79.5%
- Apple-2.0pt8%
- Alphabet (Google)-5.6pt4.4%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,6K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho is behind OX Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?
- Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)+59.2pt79.9%
- xAI / Cursor-21.4pt6.3%
- Other-5.9pt6.2%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8,2K
- 24u volume
- € 6,4K
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many people will attend our 20th monthly NYC dinner?
- >=4+44.0pt94%
- >=5+41.3pt91.3%
- >=6+21.9pt71.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 175,8
- 24u volume
- € 175,8
MANIFOLD MARKETS3rd largest company end of October 2026?
- Alphabet (Google)+43.5pt53.5%
- Apple+13.8pt23.8%
- Microsoft+0.6pt10.6%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2K
- 24u volume
- € 1,2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will a company claim credit for Ox Alpha?
- Before Sept 20, 2026+40.0pt90%
- Before 2027+40.0pt90%
- Before Aug 22, 202650%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 99,8
- 24u volume
- € 99,8
MANIFOLD MARKETSMajor League Baseball Games ⚾️ (LIVE)
- Wednesday 3/26, 8:05 PM: NYY Yankees WIN at SF Giants100%
- Thursday 3/27, 2:20 PM: WSH Nationals WIN at CHC Cubs100%
- Thursday 3/27, 4:10 PM: BOS Red Sox WIN at CIN Reds100%
+1860 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 804,3K
- 24u volume
- € 3,6K
MANIFOLD MARKETSF1 Dutch GP: Who will win the Sprint?
- George Russell+37.5pt47.9%
- Lando Norris+13.0pt28%
- Charles Leclerc-0.6pt10.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1K
- 24u volume
- € 2,2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSPremier League Weekend Prop Bets, Aug 21-24 (Matchweek 1)
- Goal scored on penalty+36.1pt86.1%
- Player gets a red card (in any fashion)+24.0pt74%
- There is an Own Goal scored+15.6pt65.6%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 192,9
- 24u volume
- € 192,9
MANIFOLD MARKETS2nd largest company end of October 2026?
- Apple+35.2pt45.2%
- Alphabet (Google)+34.9pt44.9%
- NVIDIA-8.3pt1.7%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8K
- 24u volume
- € 1,8K
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
- 8-9+35.0pt57.8%
- 6-7-32.1pt25%
- 10-11-2.2pt10.5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7K
- 24u volume
- € 378,6
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win Masters Season 40?
- prismatic+34.0pt75.6%
- Jack-25.6pt14%
- Bayesian-0.5pt0.7%
+26 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2K
- 24u volume
- € 226,1
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- Anthropic peak market cap in 2026?
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- 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
- What will the release name of OX Alpha be?
- Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Republican Primary Draft (Mar 2026 version)
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- ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
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- A public 2026 Dutch government cyberbreach will happen in ... ?
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