Inflation

Fed Decision in September?

0.2 pts25g

No change

-4.0pt66.7%

25 bps increase

+5.0pt32.4%

25 bps decrease

-0.2pt1%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansıFed maintains rate71%· 4 puan bant

89 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$43,4 Mn

24s Hacim$2,9 Mn

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

2.0 pts3ay

Evet

+2.0pt51.5%

Hayır

-2.0pt48.5%

87 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$7,8 Mn

24s Hacim$73,3 B

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike by which date?

4.5 pts2ay

October Meeting

41%

September Meeting

+4.5pt32%

April Meeting

-0.1pt0%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

74 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,3 Mn

24s Hacim$20,1 B

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

6.0 pts25g

Pause–Pause–Pause

-8.0pt66%

Cut–Pause–Pause

-0.8pt0%

Other

+6.0pt34%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

81 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$766,9 B

24s Hacim$14,4 B

POLYMARKET

How high will inflation get this year?

4.8 pts5ay

At least 4.5%

-4.8pt25%

At least 5.5%

-5.0pt17%

At least 5.0%

+0.7pt13%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$434,1 B

24s Hacim$7,3 B

KALSHI

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

1.0 pts20g

Above 2.5%

99%

Above 2.7%

99%

Above 2.8%

99%

+23 daha fazla sonuç

69 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$124,4 B

24s Hacim$15,8 B

KALSHI

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

4ay

0 (0

49%

1 (25

33.6%

2 (50

15.4%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

77 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$209,1 B

24s Hacim$5,2 B

POLYMARKET

CPI-U index in August

1.0 pts20g

Above 334.300

95%

Above 334.350

95%

Above 334.450

+3.0pt94%

+22 daha fazla sonuç

71 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$53,8 B

24s Hacim$8,3 B

KALSHI

How high will inflation get in 2026?

4ay

Above 3%

+1.4pt100%

Above 4%

+2.0pt100%

Above 3.5%

+0.1pt100%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

69 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,4 Mn

24s Hacim$2,1 B

POLYMARKET

US shelter CPI in August

13.0 pts20g

Above 429.6

+10.0pt98%

Above 429.5

+11.0pt97%

Above 429.4

95%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$32,2 B

24s Hacim$5,7 B

KALSHI

CPI core in October

1.0 pts2ay

Above 0.1%

98%

Above 0.2%

98%

Above 0.0%

66%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

34 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$8,1 B

24s Hacim$7,6 B

KALSHI

CPI in August

2.0 pts20g

Above -0.3%

99%

Above -0.1%

99%

Above 0.1%

98%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

70 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$111,8 B

24s Hacim$1,9 B

KALSHI

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

2.6 pts5ay

2.5–2.9%

23%

3.5–3.9%

+2.6pt23%

4.0-4.4%

11%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

67 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$61,8 B

24s Hacim$1,7 B

POLYMARKET

August Inflation US - Annual

0.5 pts20g

3.4%

-0.5pt36.3%

3.3%

-3.5pt23%

3.5%

+5.5pt20.4%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

67 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$23,4 B

24s Hacim$4,7 B

POLYMARKET

Core PCE YoY - July 2026

1.0 pts4g

3.3%

-1.0pt77.5%

3.2%

+1.5pt20.6%

3.1%

-0.1pt1%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

70 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$49,4 B

24s Hacim$2,1 B

POLYMARKET

US electricity price in August

9.0 pts20g

Above 19.2¢

-1.0pt96%

Above 19.4¢

+9.0pt91%

Above 19.6¢

-1.0pt56%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

65 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$22,2 B

24s Hacim$2,3 B

KALSHI

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

20g

Above 2.1%

93%

Above 2.2%

93%

Above 2.3%

68%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

42 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$28,5 B

24s Hacim$1,5 B

KALSHI

PPI YoY - August 2026

21.0 pts20g

5.1%+

-21.0pt36%

5.0%

-4.0pt12%

4.7%

+1.0pt10%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

43 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$7,4 B

24s Hacim$4,6 B

POLYMARKET

South Africa inflation rate MoM for August

11.0 pts1ay

Above -0.2%

96%

Above 1.2%

16%

Above 1.0%

-1.0pt14%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

62 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$4,2 B

24s Hacim$2,7 B

KALSHI

How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?

5.0 pts4g

Above 0.0%

98%

Above 0.1%

+1.0pt90%

Above 0.2%

+5.0pt38%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$38,2 B

24s Hacim$861,1

KALSHI

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

2.8 pts4ay

5.00-5.49%

+2.8pt47.6%

4.50-4.99%

-0.1pt21.9%

5.50-5.99%

+0.1pt19.1%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$96,3 B

24s Hacim$295,8

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

1.0 pts5ay

Soft Landing

+0.5pt60.2%

Overheating

+1.0pt35%

Stagflation

+0.1pt4.8%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansıSoft landing59%· 3 puan bant

62 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$71 B

24s Hacim$263,6

POLYMARKET

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

1.6 pts5ay

≤1.9%

+1.6pt49.5%

2.0-2.4%

48.5%

2.5-2.9%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$38,1 B

24s Hacim$416,4

POLYMARKET

Core PCE MoM - July 2026

1.0 pts4g

0.2%

+3.0pt67.7%

0.3%

-1.0pt27.3%

0.1%

+0.1pt3%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

69 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$33,6 B

24s Hacim$441,6

POLYMARKET

Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026?

1.0 pts20g

Hayır

97%

Evet

+1.0pt3%

47 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$32,9 B

24s Hacim$452,6

KALSHI

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

5.0 pts4ay

Above 6.6%

99%

Above 6.7%

90%

Above 6.8%

-7.0pt75%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

48 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$38,5 B

24s Hacim$306,9

KALSHI

US used cars and trucks CPI for August

20g

Above 176

99%

Above 175

99%

Above 178

+1.0pt94%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$26,3 B

24s Hacim$396,2

KALSHI

Argentina inflation rate MoM for August

1.0 pts20g

Above 1.4%

99%

Above 1.6%

85%

Above 1.8%

-2.0pt61%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

57 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$12,8 B

24s Hacim$524,1

KALSHI

August Inflation China - Annual

3.5 pts19g

0.5% - 0.6%

+0.5pt35.8%

0.7% - 0.8%

+3.5pt33%

0.3% - 0.4%

+1.2pt11.9%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

39 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$18,4 B

24s Hacim$336,3

POLYMARKET

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

2.5 pts20g

2.4%

+2.5pt37.4%

2.3%

29.6%

2.5%

+0.5pt18.3%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

57 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$7,8 B

24s Hacim$608,5

POLYMARKET

Argentina Monthly Inflation - August

2.9 pts20g

1.8-2.0%

-6.2pt51%

1.5-1.7%

+2.9pt38.8%

2.1-2.3%

+4.8pt9.2%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

43 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$9,7 B

24s Hacim$383,8

POLYMARKET

CPI core in August

11.0 pts20g

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

86%

Above 0.2%

-11.0pt37%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

37 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$4,4 B

24s Hacim$353,3

KALSHI

PPI YoY in August

5.0 pts19g

Above 4.1%

97%

Above 4.2%

+3.0pt96%

Above 4.5%

95%

+13 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$3,7 B

24s Hacim$278,7

KALSHI

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

5ay

3.1%+

46.5%

2.8-3.0%

-0.8pt19.2%

2.5–2.7%

-0.3pt8.1%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

73 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$106 B

24s Hacim$229

POLYMARKET

CPI in September

43.0 pts1ay

Above -0.2%

99%

Above -0.3%

98%

Above 0.1%

97%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

34 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$74,3 B

24s Hacim$107

KALSHI

Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in July?

5.0 pts3g

Hayır

84%

Evet

-5.0pt16%

55 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadDüşük likidite

Toplam Hacim$985,9

24s Hacim$405,2

KALSHI

Chipotle chicken burrito price in August 2026

1.0 pts11g

At least $9.77

99%

At least $9.78

99%

At least $9.79

87%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

49 • Düşük kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$32,3 B

24s Hacim$134,3

KALSHI

CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?

2.0 pts20g

Exactly 2.5%

71%

Exactly 2.4%

+2.0pt36%

Exactly 2.3%

+6.0pt33%

+13 daha fazla sonuç

36 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$13,1 B

24s Hacim$243

KALSHI

Dunkin' medium cold brew price in August 2026

11g

At least $4.44

99%

At least $4.45

89%

At least $4.46

20%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

42 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$10,2 B

24s Hacim$201

KALSHI

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

10.8 pts20g

$2.20–$2.30

+17.9pt36.1%

$2.10–$2.20

+10.8pt25.2%

$2.30–$2.40

20.2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

33 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$8,7 B

24s Hacim$156,8

POLYMARKET

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

3.0 pts1ay

Above 3.0%

+3.0pt92%

Above 3.5%

92%

Above 3.7%

85%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

43 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$11,2 B

24s Hacim$100

KALSHI

Core CPI MoM - August 2026

0.5 pts20g

0.2%

-0.5pt40.6%

0.3%

+4.5pt28.3%

0.1%

-0.5pt17.9%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

55 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$5,5 B

24s Hacim$196,2

POLYMARKET

August Inflation US - Monthly

0.5 pts20g

0.4%

39.8%

0.3%

25%

≥0.5%

-3.0pt18.5%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$6,9 B

24s Hacim$122,5

POLYMARKET

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Hayır

84%

Evet

16%

72 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$25,9 Mn

24s Hacim$36,6

KALSHI

Brazil inflation rate in August

5.0 pts20g

Above 4.10%

+39.0pt95%

Above 4.00%

73%

Above 4.30%

56%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

33 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2,5 B

24s Hacim$244

KALSHI

CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?

20g

Exactly 0.4%

80%

Exactly 0.1%

66%

Exactly 0.2%

45%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

31 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$1,8 B

24s Hacim$176

KALSHI

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

2ay

Pause–Pause–Pause

57.3%

Pause–Pause–Cut

+0.1pt2.9%

Other

38.8%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

67 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$716,8 B

24s Hacim$25,9

POLYMARKET

India Annual Inflation 2026

4ay

4.50%+

78.4%

3.75% to 4.49%

12.8%

<0.75%

+1.2pt4.9%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

63 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$78,4 B

24s Hacim$70,2

POLYMARKET

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Fed Decision in September?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by which date?

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

How high will inflation get this year?

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

CPI-U index in August

How high will inflation get in 2026?

US shelter CPI in August

CPI core in October

CPI in August

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

August Inflation US - Annual

Core PCE YoY - July 2026

US electricity price in August

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

PPI YoY - August 2026

South Africa inflation rate MoM for August

How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

Core PCE MoM - July 2026

Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026?

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

US used cars and trucks CPI for August

Argentina inflation rate MoM for August

August Inflation China - Annual

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

Argentina Monthly Inflation - August

CPI core in August

PPI YoY in August

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

CPI in September

Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in July?

Chipotle chicken burrito price in August 2026

CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?

Dunkin' medium cold brew price in August 2026

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Core CPI MoM - August 2026

August Inflation US - Monthly

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Brazil inflation rate in August

CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

India Annual Inflation 2026