Prediction Markets Today
A daily briefing on what moved, what opened, what is expiring, and what just resolved across prediction markets.
Last updated: Jul 7, 2:25 PM
Biggest Moves Today
10
Newly Opened
10
Expiring Soon
10
Just Resolved
10
KALSHIWill Graham Platner drop out?
KALSHIWill Graham Platner drop out?
Moved Outcome
Before Jul 14, 2026
Probability Shift
4.6% → 92%
24h Volume
$3.4M
100 • High quality230pt disagreementUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHILove Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples
KALSHILove Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples
Moved Outcome
Beatriz and Corbin
Probability Shift
97% → 1%
24h Volume
$41.5K
89 • High qualityUpdated 10 minutes ago
KALSHIBetBoom Team vs. Team Falcons
KALSHIBetBoom Team vs. Team Falcons
Moved Outcome
Tie
Probability Shift
4% → 99%
24h Volume
$253K
77 • High quality51pt disagreementUpdated 9 minutes ago
POLYMARKETWill Graham Platner drop out by...?
POLYMARKETWill Graham Platner drop out by...?
Moved Outcome
November 2
Probability Shift
21.1% → 97%
24h Volume
$799.1K
100 • High qualityUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETIran successfully targets shipping on...?
POLYMARKETIran successfully targets shipping on...?
Moved Outcome
July 7
Probability Shift
3.1% → 98%
24h Volume
$45.9K
89 • High qualityUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETDota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
POLYMARKETDota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
Moved Outcome
Game 1 Winner
Probability Shift
29.6% → 100%
24h Volume
$617.2K
100 • High qualityUpdated 2 minutes ago
KALSHIArgentina vs Egypt: Argentina Starters
KALSHIArgentina vs Egypt: Argentina Starters
Moved Outcome
Lautaro Martinez starts for Argentina
Probability Shift
98% → 5%
24h Volume
$182.3K
73 • Medium qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
POLYMARKETWorld Cup: Player to score
POLYMARKETWorld Cup: Player to score
Moved Outcome
Julio Enciso
Probability Shift
14.1% → 100%
24h Volume
$23.8K
100 • High qualityUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETValorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
POLYMARKETValorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
Moved Outcome
1 Winner
Probability Shift
68% → 0%
24h Volume
$430.5K
100 • High quality1390pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff
POLYMARKETWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Moved Outcome
Struff Set 1 O/U 10.5
Probability Shift
34.6% → 100%
24h Volume
$911.1K
100 • High quality661pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on July 7, 11AM ET?
Opened
Jul 7, 1:42 PM
24h Volume
$426.5
61,00089%
52 • Medium qualityUpdated 1 minute ago
BTC
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on July 7, 11AM ET?
Opened
Jul 7, 1:42 PM
24h Volume
$366.5
1,69089%
56 • Medium qualityUpdated 1 minute ago
ETHKALSHIMilwaukee vs St. Louis: Game 1 Spread
Opened
Jul 7, 2:10 PM
24h Volume
$0
St. Louis wins by over 3.5 runs12%
40 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHIMilwaukee vs St. Louis: Game 1 First 5 Innings
Opened
Jul 7, 2:10 PM
24h Volume
$0
Milwaukee wins first 5 innings58%
40 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
LIMITLESSNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Hourly
Opened
Jul 7, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$180.1
Yes50%
32 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
LIMITLESSTesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Hourly
Opened
Jul 7, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$124.7
Yes50%
32 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHIMilwaukee vs St. Louis: Game 1 Total Runs
Opened
Jul 7, 2:10 PM
24h Volume
$0
Over 2.5 runs scored88%
24 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHIMilwaukee vs St. Louis: Game 1 First 5 Innings Total
Opened
Jul 7, 2:10 PM
24h Volume
$0
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings92%
24 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHIMilwaukee vs St. Louis: Game 2 Total Runs
Opened
Jul 7, 2:10 PM
24h Volume
$0
Over 2.5 runs scored92%
24 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHIMilwaukee vs St. Louis: Game 2 First 5 Innings
Opened
Jul 7, 2:10 PM
24h Volume
$0
Milwaukee wins first 5 innings0%
24 • Low qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
KALSHIBTC price on Jul 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$374.6K
$63,500 or above8%
73 • Medium qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
BTCPOLYMARKETDota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Match Result (1x2)
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$110.2K
GamerLegion72%
73 • Medium quality55pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10AM ET
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$11.4K
Up40%
88 • High qualityUpdated 2 minutes ago
BTCPOLYMARKETDota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Match Result (1x2)
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$114K
Draw100%
65 • Medium quality50pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
KALSHIS&P price on Jul 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$18.3K
7,480 or above80%
77 • High qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
POLYMARKETDota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Match Result (1x2)
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$74.3K
Draw100%
65 • Medium quality50pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
KALSHISOL price on Jul 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$4K
$80 or above96%
79 • High qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
SOLKALSHIETH price on Jul 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$14.3K
$1,790 or above4%
61 • Medium qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
ETHPOLYMARKETEthereum Up or Down - July 7, 10AM ET
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$1.3K
Up54%
79 • High qualityUpdated 1 minute ago
ETHKALSHIBTC price range on Jul 7, 2026 at 11am EDT?
Expires In
< 2h
24h Volume
$4K
$53,200 to 53,299.991%
56 • Medium qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
BTC
POLYMARKETWhich artists will release new albums in 2026?
Winning Outcome
Nettspend (100%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$216.3K
40 • Low qualityLagging · Updated 56 minutes ago
POLYMARKETWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Winning Outcome
↑ 6.50% (100%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$50.3K
28 • Low qualityLagging · Updated 56 minutes ago
LIMITLESSETH Up or Down - 15 Min
Winning Outcome
No (51.5%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
ETHLIMITLESSSOL Up or Down - 15 Min
Winning Outcome
Yes (79%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
SOLLIMITLESSBTC Up or Down - 15 Min
Winning Outcome
No (49.5%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
BTCLIMITLESSHYPE Up or Down - 15 Min
Winning Outcome
No (43%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
LIMITLESSBTC Up or Down - 5 Min
Winning Outcome
No (54%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
BTCLIMITLESSETH Up or Down - 5 Min
Winning Outcome
No (50%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
ETHLIMITLESSSOL Up or Down - 5 Min
Winning Outcome
No (54%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
SOLLIMITLESSHYPE Up or Down - 5 Min
Winning Outcome
No (50%)
Resolved
—
Total Vol
$0
28 • Low qualityUpdated 20 minutes ago
KALSHIArgentina vs Egypt
24h Volume
$11M
Total Vol
$13.5M
Argentina advances86%
100 • High qualityUpdated 9 minutes ago
POLYMARKETArgentina vs. Egypt - More Markets
24h Volume
$8.5M
Total Vol
$9.6M
O/U 0.593%
100 • High qualityUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETWorld Cup Winner
24h Volume
$62.2M
Total Vol
$4B
France33%
73 • Medium quality28pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
POLYMARKETArgentina vs. Egypt
24h Volume
$5.2M
Total Vol
$6.1M
Argentina74%
100 • High quality20pt disagreementUpdated 2 minutes ago
KALSHILeBron James' Next Team
24h Volume
$6M
Total Vol
$70.1M
Miami18%
89 • High quality115pt disagreementUpdated 10 minutes ago