Election

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

0.1 pts2y

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Gavin Newsom

15%

Jon Ossoff

+0.2pt14%

+125 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%· 1 pt band

67 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.3B

24h Vol$894.3K

POLYMARKET

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Marco Rubio

+0.4pt12%

+125 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceJD Vance20%· 2 pt band

74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$690.7M

24h Vol$637.4K

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

0.1 pts2y

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%

J.D. Vance

47%

Marco Rubio

-0.6pt21%

+125 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceJ.D. Vance43%· 4 pt band

74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$689.5M

24h Vol$251.2K

POLYMARKET

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

0.1 pts2y

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

16.2%

Jon Ossoff

16.2%

Gavin Newsom

+1.0pt15.2%

+44 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%· 1 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$187.5M

24h Vol$987.8K

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential Election

0.1 pts1mo

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

62.8%

Flávio Bolsonaro

32.4%

Renan Santos

+0.3pt4.9%

+29 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%· 3 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$130.7M

24h Vol$977.7K

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

8mo

Marine Le Pen

-0.9pt32%

Édouard Philippe

26%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

14%

+125 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceMarine Le Pen32%· 5 pt band

74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$120.9M

24h Vol$405.5K

POLYMARKET

2028 Republican presidential nominee

0.3 pts2y

J.D. Vance

-1.0pt45.3%

Marco Rubio

-3.0pt21.1%

Ron DeSantis

-0.2pt5.3%

+35 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceJ.D. Vance43%· 4 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$58.7M

24h Vol$427.7K

KALSHI

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

1.0 pts3y

J.D. Vance

18.8%

Marco Rubio

-1.0pt13.9%

Jon Ossoff

-1.0pt9.9%

+27 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceJD Vance20%· 2 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$61M

24h Vol$288.9K

KALSHI

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

29d

United Russia (ER)

71%

New People (NL)

-0.2pt22%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

-0.1pt6%

+31 more outcomes

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$21.4M

24h Vol$346.9K

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the U.S. House?

1.0 pts5mo

Democratic Party

84.2%

Republican Party

+1.0pt15.8%

CoinRithm referenceDemocratic Party85%· 3 pt band

96 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$23.8M

24h Vol$293.2K

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

9mo

Karen Bass

62.6%

Nithya Raman

-1.0pt37.4%

CoinRithm referenceKaren Bass62%· 3 pt band

95 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$30M

24h Vol$164.4K

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

4mo

Gadi Eizenkot

+0.6pt59.4%

Benjamin Netanyahu

-1.0pt29.2%

Naftali Bennett

6.3%

+25 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceGadi Eizenkot57%· 2 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$32.8M

24h Vol$91.4K

POLYMARKET

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

0.5 pts4mo

Nicolás Maduro

+0.5pt86.5%

Delcy Rodríguez

10.4%

María Corina Machado

2.1%

+54 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceNicolás Maduro81%· 2 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$95.8M

24h Vol$23.2K

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

1.0 pts1mo

Flávio Bolsonaro

-1.0pt89.7%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

-2.0pt6.2%

Renan Santos

+0.1pt4.1%

+29 more outcomes

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$5.2M

24h Vol$263.9K

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

10d

July 18

+0.3pt100%

July 20

+0.1pt100%

July 22

+0.5pt100%

+19 more outcomes

74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$26.1M

24h Vol$32.4K

POLYMARKET

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

12mo

At least 5%

100%

At least 1%

100%

At least 10%

100%

+12 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$10.1M

24h Vol$83.1K

KALSHI

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

2mo

Democrats Sweep

48%

R Senate, D

-1.0pt38%

Republicans Sweep

13%

+2 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceDemocrats Sweep48%· 1 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$10.3M

24h Vol$50.3K

POLYMARKET

California Governor winner? (Person)

0.4 pts1y

Xavier Becerra

-0.2pt96%

Steve Hilton

+0.4pt4%

CoinRithm referenceXavier Becerra95%· 1 pt band

94 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$12.4M

24h Vol$38.3K

KALSHI

Which party will win the House in 2026?

1.0 pts2mo

Democratic Party

-1.0pt87.1%

Republican Party

+1.0pt12.9%

Party A

+6 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceDemocratic Party85%· 3 pt band

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$9.6M

24h Vol$49K

POLYMARKET

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

11mo

Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%

89.2%

Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%

0.9%

Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%

0.9%

+10 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$6.3M

24h Vol$45.3K

KALSHI

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

22d

Magdalena Andersson

+0.5pt89%

Ulf Kristersson

11%

Jimmie Åkesson

-0.6pt0%

+33 more outcomes

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$3.8M

24h Vol$70.7K

POLYMARKET

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

0.6 pts4mo

Karen Bass

65%

Nithya Raman

-0.6pt35%

Rick Caruso

+12 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceKaren Bass65%· 3 pt band

86 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$13.4M

24h Vol$11.5K

POLYMARKET

Trump out as President by August 31?

0.1 pts10d

+0.1pt100%

Yes

-0.1pt0%

87 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.9M

24h Vol$76K

POLYMARKET

Trump out as President before 2027?

4mo

94.1%

Yes

5.9%

CoinRithm reference6%· 44 pt band

85 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$10.9M

24h Vol$9.6K

POLYMARKET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

0.3 pts4mo

December 31

+0.3pt4%

March 31

+0.1pt0%

April 30

-0.1pt0%

74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$7.8M

24h Vol$7.8K

POLYMARKET

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

1.0 pts2mo

Mike Mazzei

71.8%

Gentner Drummond

-1.0pt27.2%

Matt Pinnell

+4 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceMike Mazzei73%· 1 pt band

86 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$44.6K

KALSHI

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

0.3 pts29d

United Russia (ER)

99%

Yabloko

+0.3pt1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

-0.1pt0%

+31 more outcomes

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3.3M

24h Vol$12.3K

POLYMARKET

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?

1.0 pts1y

Darline Graham, 0-3%

+5.0pt14.2%

Darline Graham, 6-9%

13.2%

Ralph Norman, 0-3%

-6.0pt12.3%

+15 more outcomes

84 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$681.9K

24h Vol$59.3K

KALSHI

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

4.0 pts2mo

David Crowley (D)

+4.0pt81.2%

Tom Tiffany (R)

-5.0pt18.8%

Option A

+10 more outcomes

87 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$430.8K

24h Vol$93.6K

POLYMARKET

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

0.1 pts5mo

230-233

11.8%

226-229

10.9%

234-237

10.9%

+9 more outcomes

84 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$24K

KALSHI

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

1mo

Before Jan 1, 2027

-0.3pt8%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

-1.0pt4%

+4 more outcomes

74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.3M

24h Vol$10.1K

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential election winner?

3.0 pts1y

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

-3.0pt59.2%

Flávio Bolsonaro

+5.0pt35.9%

Renan Santos

-0.5pt3.9%

+10 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%· 3 pt band

87 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.1M

24h Vol$6.6K

KALSHI

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

2mo

Ed Markey

+0.5pt92%

Seth Moulton

Ayanna Pressley

+1 more outcomes

89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$657.6K

24h Vol$30.2K

KALSHI

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

0.5 pts5mo

Below 193

-1.0pt20.4%

203-207

+2.0pt13.9%

198-202

13.9%

+8 more outcomes

84 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.5M

24h Vol$6.6K

KALSHI

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.5 pts2y

Democratic

+0.5pt59%

Republican

-1.0pt41%

Party A

+12 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceDemocratic59%· 0 pt band

84 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.1M

24h Vol$7.6K

POLYMARKET

Netanyahu out by which date?

2.0 pts4mo

December 31

-2.0pt49%

May 31

July 31

+3 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$124.1M

24h Vol$2.7K

POLYMARKET

Wisconsin Governor winner?

2.0 pts1y

David Crowley

+2.0pt77.5%

Tom Tiffany

-4.0pt22.4%

85 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$868.9K

24h Vol$17.3K

KALSHI

Michigan Senate Election Winner

1.0 pts2mo

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

-1.0pt63.4%

Mike Rogers (R)

36.6%

Person A

+10 more outcomes

86 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$557.4K

24h Vol$27.1K

POLYMARKET

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

1.4 pts3d

Mike Mazzei

+1.4pt72.3%

Gentner Drummond

-2.0pt27.7%

Chip Keating

+21 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceMike Mazzei73%· 1 pt band

85 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$486.8K

24h Vol$29.4K

POLYMARKET

Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

12mo

At least 45%

90%

At least 60%

+1.0pt1.8%

At least 80%

0.9%

+8 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$545.9K

24h Vol$24.8K

KALSHI

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

1.0 pts1y

Abdul El-Sayed

-1.0pt59.4%

Mike Rogers

38.6%

Haley Stevens

+1 more outcomes

87 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.5M

24h Vol$6.6K

KALSHI

New York Governor winner?

Kathy Hochul

+0.7pt95%

Bruce Blakeman

CoinRithm referenceDemocrat95%· 1 pt band

88 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$808.9K

24h Vol$13.1K

KALSHI

Iowa Governor winner?

1.0 pts1y

Rob Sand

76.5%

Zach Lahn

+1.0pt23.5%

CoinRithm referenceRob Sand78%· 1 pt band

85 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$431K

24h Vol$22K

KALSHI

Alaska Governor Election Winner

2.9 pts2mo

Bernadette Wilson

+1.5pt35.6%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

+2.9pt33.7%

Tom Begich

-1.5pt18.8%

+37 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceBernadette Wilson36%· 1 pt band

79 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$7.3K

POLYMARKET

Texas Governor winner?

1.0 pts1y

Greg Abbott

-1.0pt88%

Gina Hinojosa

+1.0pt12%

CoinRithm referenceGreg Abbott88%· 1 pt band

86 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$673.9K

24h Vol$10.3K

KALSHI

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

4.0 pts15d

-4.0pt66.3%

Yes

+4.0pt33.7%

CoinRithm reference34%· 2 pt band

82 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$331.9K

24h Vol$21.4K

POLYMARKET

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout

10.0 pts1y

Above 200k

+4.0pt97%

Above 225k

+17.0pt93%

Above 250k

+10.0pt80%

+3 more outcomes

67 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$110.3K

24h Vol$69.8K

KALSHI

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

3.0 pts1y

Javier Milei

48.1%

Axel Kicillof

+1.0pt39.6%

Sergio Massa

+3.0pt8.5%

+61 more outcomes

78 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$543.2K

24h Vol$12.3K

POLYMARKET

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